Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 4.157659 4.958804 5.851118 6.915505 8.147257 9.524439 11.177230
2025-07-20 3.106474 4.162003 5.458172 7.153621 9.297941 11.903545 15.291082
2025-07-27 2.502452 3.692355 5.275002 7.503757 10.525684 14.439856 19.844824
2025-08-03 1.984130 3.191172 4.913868 7.500115 11.220736 16.304636 23.682911
2025-08-10 1.543626 2.691647 4.440721 7.224278 11.447381 17.497472 26.668117
2025-08-17 1.223328 2.300969 4.045325 6.973266 11.633200 18.595898 29.561150
2025-08-24 1.024508 2.064281 3.841563 6.969165 12.160026 20.203847 33.294193
2025-08-31 0.870630 1.872552 3.675067 6.989305 12.705648 21.861860 37.209396
2025-09-07 0.732406 1.680132 3.472678 6.911376 13.064683 23.234863 40.762400
2025-09-14 0.590372 1.449039 3.159850 6.587837 12.955638 23.818013 43.065692
2025-09-21 0.506119 1.320228 3.019295 6.557084 13.346936 25.250342 46.852435
2025-09-28 0.435368 1.205672 2.887608 6.521802 13.717509 26.663520 50.691946
2025-10-05 0.408846 1.191443 2.966735 6.923425 14.963149 29.740099 57.677411
2025-10-12 0.369819 1.138317 2.953951 7.135134 15.864494 32.269794 63.883635
2025-10-19 0.343951 1.113425 3.000178 7.475875 17.050766 35.406381 71.384572
2025-10-26 0.299912 1.028937 2.894055 7.469582 17.530183 37.250272 76.640193
2025-11-02 0.248238 0.909090 2.681606 7.193940 17.417410 37.945906 79.795614
2025-11-09 0.206229 0.806179 2.492400 6.943620 17.326538 38.665985 83.028815
2025-11-16 0.180837 0.748715 2.411212 6.939461 17.768833 40.471168 88.456517
2025-11-23 0.159704 0.699528 2.343763 6.959502 18.264671 42.415279 94.269828
2025-11-30 0.138158 0.642398 2.243533 6.881859 18.526241 43.888358 99.227163
2025-12-07 0.112746 0.562263 2.060264 6.559541 18.177355 44.043803 101.516753
2025-12-14 0.098637 0.521644 1.988935 6.528904 18.524209 45.711487 107.011184